Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 9.849258e-05 0.000114 0.000130 0.000148 0.000168 0.000189 0.000212
2025-05-18 7.231051e-05 0.000094 0.000119 0.000148 0.000181 0.000218 0.000261
2025-05-25 5.739829e-05 0.000082 0.000112 0.000148 0.000192 0.000241 0.000301
2025-06-01 5.087795e-05 0.000079 0.000113 0.000157 0.000211 0.000274 0.000351
2025-06-08 4.360171e-05 0.000073 0.000111 0.000161 0.000223 0.000297 0.000390
2025-06-15 3.836322e-05 0.000069 0.000110 0.000165 0.000237 0.000322 0.000430
2025-06-22 3.356437e-05 0.000065 0.000108 0.000169 0.000248 0.000344 0.000468
2025-06-29 2.696096e-05 0.000057 0.000101 0.000164 0.000248 0.000353 0.000488
2025-07-06 2.082434e-05 0.000049 0.000092 0.000157 0.000245 0.000356 0.000501
2025-07-13 1.707025e-05 0.000044 0.000088 0.000155 0.000248 0.000367 0.000525
2025-07-20 1.400101e-05 0.000040 0.000084 0.000154 0.000252 0.000378 0.000548
2025-07-27 1.102503e-05 0.000036 0.000079 0.000150 0.000252 0.000385 0.000566
2025-08-03 9.650386e-06 0.000034 0.000079 0.000154 0.000262 0.000406 0.000602
2025-08-10 7.788202e-06 0.000031 0.000076 0.000153 0.000267 0.000419 0.000628
2025-08-17 6.378004e-06 0.000029 0.000074 0.000154 0.000273 0.000434 0.000656
2025-08-24 6.199272e-06 0.000030 0.000078 0.000163 0.000291 0.000465 0.000706
2025-08-31 5.384882e-06 0.000029 0.000078 0.000166 0.000301 0.000486 0.000743
2025-09-07 4.817091e-06 0.000028 0.000079 0.000171 0.000314 0.000509 0.000783
2025-09-14 4.177477e-06 0.000027 0.000079 0.000174 0.000324 0.000530 0.000819
2025-09-21 2.967503e-06 0.000024 0.000074 0.000170 0.000321 0.000533 0.000833
2025-09-28 1.875854e-06 0.000020 0.000068 0.000162 0.000315 0.000531 0.000838
2025-10-05 1.320976e-06 0.000018 0.000065 0.000160 0.000317 0.000539 0.000859
2025-10-12 9.062152e-07 0.000016 0.000063 0.000159 0.000319 0.000549 0.000880